The Ugly Underbelly of the Lottery

The Ugly Underbelly of the Lottery

The lottery is the biggest form of gambling in America, and it costs state governments billions every year. That’s billions that could have gone to college tuition, retirement savings, or other public goods. But lottery proponents argue that it’s a small price to pay for raising much-needed revenue. The problem is that it’s hard to know how valuable this revenue really is. And what’s more, it’s collected in an extremely inefficient manner—of every dollar spent on tickets, only about 40 percent goes to the state.

And it’s a drop in the bucket compared to total state revenue and income. For example, between 1964 and 2021, the US raised about $502 billion in lottery proceeds, but that’s only 1 to 2 percent of state government revenues during the same period. The rest of the money is dribbled away on administrative and vendor costs and to projects each state designates.

Lottery prizes are generated by ticket sales, so the more people play, the larger the jackpots. Some players choose their own numbers, but most use a machine called a “quick pick” to get a random set of numbers. And although winning is based on chance, there are some tips to improve your chances.

For starters, avoid numbers that appear frequently in other combinations. You can also find patterns in past drawings by looking at the winning numbers. For instance, numbers that start with the same digit or those that end in the same digit tend to be less frequent. Also, avoid a cluster of numbers that have the same pattern, such as 1, 6, and 9.

Many lottery players have quote-unquote systems, such as buying tickets only at lucky stores or during certain times of day. But most of them understand that the odds are long. That’s why they play—because deep down, they believe that, even though they have a one-in-eight chance of winning, the prize is worth the gamble.

Lottery marketing focuses on promoting the fun of playing and a sense that everyone should try it at least once. And it works, because most Americans do buy a ticket each week. But there’s an ugly underbelly to the lottery: it’s a regressive form of gambling that drains taxpayer dollars from programs that serve low-income communities.

In other words, it’s a way for states to justify taking money from citizens that they could better spend elsewhere. It’s time to take a hard look at this popular activity—not just for the potential of big jackpots, but because it can obscure more troubling trends.